First, Syria’s Assad regime has fallen. As a result, this sudden change shows how fast political systems can break down. Meanwhile, Syrians are now free to celebrate the end of a brutal rule. However, the future remains unclear.
Furthermore, leaders from nearby countries have started to share their thoughts. For instance, UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy spoke about his worries to Parliament on December 9. Consequently, he fears Syria might follow Libya’s troubled path. Above all, his main concern is that Syria could split apart and become a haven for terror groups.
The Scale of Destruction
In contrast to Libya, Syria’s problems are much bigger. To begin with, Libya’s conflict lasted less than a year. Nevertheless, Syria has suffered through more than ten years of war. As a consequence, the death toll has reached over 600,000. In addition, millions of people have fled their homes. Moreover, most of the country’s roads, schools, and hospitals lie in ruins.
Similarly, the economy is also in bad shape. Initially, years of strict rules from other countries pushed Assad to turn to drug trade. Subsequently, his government made money from selling drugs like speed. Additionally, different parts of Syria now use different money. In fact, some areas even use Turkish currency instead of Syrian pounds.
Syria’s Broken Security
Currently, many armed groups control different parts of Syria. For example, the biggest group is Haya’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Therefore, their leader Ahmed al-Sharaa has become important. Notably, he has changed from being linked to al-Qaeda to becoming a key national figure.
Likewise, this looks a lot like what happened in Libya. In particular, many armed groups still run different areas there. Although Libya tried to bring these fighters under government control, this plan failed. Instead, the armed groups began to control parts of the government.
Syria’s Foreign Friends and Foes
Furthermore, other countries will play a big role in Syria’s future. In comparison, we can learn from what happened in Libya. Specifically, foreign countries picked sides and made things worse. As a result, they gave money and weapons to different groups. Consequently, this led to more fighting.
For instance, in Libya, General Haftar gained power in the east. Meanwhile, he got help from the UAE, Egypt, and Russia. On the other hand, groups in western Libya got help from Turkey. Therefore, the same thing could happen in Syria if foreign countries start taking sides.
Looking Ahead
Currently, Syria faces many challenges. Nevertheless, there is still hope for positive change. Above all, success depends on learning from Libya’s mistakes. In particular, the key is to handle both local and foreign interests with care.
Additionally, these things need to happen soon:
- First, set up a government that works for everyone
- Second, find a way to deal with all the armed groups
- Finally, stop other countries from causing more problems
Moreover, the rest of the world can help. Therefore, countries working together could stop Syria from breaking apart. However, they must be careful not to make things worse.
Conclusion
In summary, Syria stands at a turning point. Although the fall of Assad is huge news, the hard work is just starting.
Furthermore, three things will decide Syria’s future:
- First, making a government that includes all Syrians
- Second, bringing armed groups under peaceful control
- Finally, keeping foreign powers from making trouble
Additionally, the next few months are crucial. Meanwhile, the world must help Syria while respecting its freedom to choose its path. Above all, the main goal should be to help Syria become stable and peaceful.
Moreover, these are the key things to watch:
- First, how different groups share power
- Second, whether armed groups join the new system
- Third, how foreign countries act
- Finally, progress in rebuilding
In conclusion, Syria can learn from Libya’s tough times. Therefore, with careful planning and support, Syria might find a better way forward. Finally, the key is to keep focused on what’s best for all Syrians.
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